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Betting the 2026 the NRL
Reading a round in the NRL, especially between these four sides, requires an understanding of nuanced factors that push results and scores. Home advantage is significant, as seen at Go Media Stadium or Suncorp Stadium, where local support and familiar conditions can swing momentum. While altitude and hemisphere travel are less direct factors for these particular matchups, player fatigue from a demanding season often compresses margins. Teams playing out of CommBank Stadium in round 2 against a strong opponent will face a stern test regardless of their prior form. Our lines, which reflect what each side has scored and conceded across its last 5 matches, offer a robust baseline. Combined scores typically push above a line when both teams possess strong attacking records or if defensive lapses are common. Conversely, a low-scoring affair, falling under the line, often suggests a tight defensive battle, inclement weather, or a conservative game plan from both sides.
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How our totals line is set
There is no sportsbook total on an international this far out, so we publish our own. Each side's expected score is the midpoint between what it has been scoring and what its opponent has been conceding across their last five matches, and the line is the two added together — 39.5 to 57.5 across this tournament. It always sits on a half-point, so the Wildcard can never push: the combined score is either over it or under it. The inputs come from the live feed and the line is recalculated whenever a result lands, which is why a round played after a run of loose defending carries a higher number than one that follows a tight month.
Every round, and how it graded
Round 22 — July 30
The Roosters demonstrated their offensive power with a 70-point victory over the Cowboys, a final score of 12-82. This outcome comfortably exceeded the total points line of 52.5, finishing at 94 points. The Roosters' performance delivered a comfortable 8+ point margin win, leaving no doubt about their superiority on the day. The large margin meant all three predictions were settled decisively.
- Cowboys v Roosters — 12-82, Queensland Country Bank Stadium
- Dragons v Dolphins — 22-28, WIN Stadium
- Storm v Bulldogs — 22-36, AAMI Park
- Titans v Warriors — 6-42, Cbus Super Stadium
- Panthers v Raiders — 42-18, Glen Willow Oval
- Broncos v Knights — 6-30, Suncorp Stadium
- Sharks v Rabbitohs — 32-16, Sharks Stadium
- Tigers v Eels — 13-16, CommBank Stadium
Result: Cowboys 12-82 Roosters. Roosters by 70. 94 points on the board against a line of 52.5.
Round 23 — August 6
The Cowboys claimed an 8-30 victory over the Titans, a margin of 22 points. This result meant the Cowboys won with a comfortable 8+ point margin. The combined score of 38 points fell significantly short of the 57.5 total line, classifying the game as an 'Under' for total points. The Cowboys' last meeting with the Titans in 2026 also saw a double-digit margin.
- Titans v Cowboys — 8-30, Cbus Super Stadium
- Warriors v Panthers — 28-12, Go Media Stadium
- Roosters v Bulldogs — 20-18, Allianz Stadium
- Storm v Sea Eagles — 42-20, HBF Park
- Dolphins v Broncos — 40-32, Suncorp Stadium
- Rabbitohs v Eels — 28-24, Allianz Stadium
- Raiders v Knights — 24-30, GIO Stadium
- Dragons v Sharks — 24-16, Jubilee Stadium
Result: Titans 8-30 Cowboys. Cowboys by 22. 38 points on the board against a line of 57.5.
Round 24 — August 13
The Roosters secured a tight 6-12 victory over the Panthers, with a margin of 6 points. This outcome meant the Roosters won within one score, or 7 points or fewer. The total points accumulated were 18, which was well under the established line of 39.5. Their previous encounter in 2026 saw a larger 36-point difference, but this match at CommBank Stadium was a much closer affair.
- Panthers v Roosters — 6-12, CommBank Stadium
- Sea Eagles v Dolphins — 0-22, 4 Pines Park
- Bulldogs v Rabbitohs — 6-22, Accor Stadium
- Sharks v Raiders — 20-24, Sharks Stadium
- Eels v Cowboys — 32-30, CommBank Stadium
- Broncos v Warriors — 6-40, Suncorp Stadium
- Knights v Titans — 36-26, McDonald Jones Stadium
- Tigers v Dragons — 22-24, CommBank Stadium
Result: Panthers 6-12 Roosters. Roosters by 6. 18 points on the board against a line of 39.5.
Round 25 — August 20
The Panthers defeated the Storm 14-22, securing a comfortable 8+ point margin with an 8-point difference. The total points for the match reached 36, which was below the 44.5 line set for this contest at AAMI Park. In their 2026 encounter, the Panthers scored 50 points, indicating a strong offensive capability that continued in this round's fixture.
- Storm v Panthers — 14-22, AAMI Park
- Raiders v Broncos — 30-34, GIO Stadium
- Dolphins v Eels — 34-16, Suncorp Stadium
- Knights v Sea Eagles — 24-44, McDonald Jones Stadium
- Rabbitohs v Warriors — 26-45, Accor Stadium
- Dragons v Bulldogs — 14-44, Allianz Stadium
- Titans v Sharks — 22-30, Cbus Super Stadium
- Roosters v Tigers — 24-25, Allianz Stadium
Result: Storm 14-22 Panthers. Panthers by 8. 36 points on the board against a line of 44.5.
Round 26 — August 27
The Storm defeated the Broncos 20-46 at Suncorp Stadium, achieving a comfortable 8+ point margin with a 26-point difference. The combined score of 66 points exceeded the 57.5 total line for the match. Their previous meeting in 2026 also saw the Storm emerge victorious, though by a smaller 4-point margin, demonstrating their continued strong form against the Broncos.
- Broncos v Storm — 20-46, Suncorp Stadium
- Sea Eagles v Dragons — 44-10, 4 Pines Park
- Panthers v Bulldogs — 24-10, CommBank Stadium
- Titans v Rabbitohs — 22-42, Cbus Super Stadium
- Roosters v Dolphins — 12-26, Allianz Stadium
- Cowboys v Tigers — 24-10, Queensland Country Bank Stadium
- Warriors v Knights — 46-32, Go Media Stadium
- Eels v Sharks — 38-18, CommBank Stadium
Result: Broncos 20-46 Storm. Storm by 26. 66 points on the board against a line of 57.5.
Round 27 — September 3
The Bulldogs fell short at Accor Stadium, losing 20-34 to the Broncos. This result meant the Broncos took the win, by a margin of 14 points, comfortably exceeding the 7-point threshold. With a combined total of 54 points, the game went over the pre-set line of 39.5 points. The Broncos proved too strong, mirroring their 32-12 win earlier in the season.
- Bulldogs v Broncos — 20-34, Accor Stadium
- Titans v Dolphins — 20-24, Cbus Super Stadium
- Rabbitohs v Roosters — 50-20, Allianz Stadium
- Warriors v Sea Eagles — 31-30, Go Media Stadium
- Cowboys v Raiders — 30-50, Queensland Country Bank Stadium
- Sharks v Storm — 20-24, Sharks Stadium
- Dragons v Eels — 24-22, WIN Stadium
- Panthers v Tigers — 38-10, CommBank Stadium
Result: Bulldogs 20-34 Broncos. Broncos by 14. 54 points on the board against a line of 39.5.
Frequently asked questions
Does the NRL Pick'em cost anything?
No. It is free to play and there is no payout — you are playing for the card and the streak, not for money. Nothing is staked, no account is needed, and your picks are stored in your own browser rather than on our servers.
When do picks lock?
At kick-off of the round's feature match. The page reads the real kick-off time from the fixture list, so once a round starts its buttons close and the card you locked is the card that gets graded. You cannot pick a round after it has begun.
How does the scoring work?
Ten points for calling the winner, 25 for the winning margin — one score of seven or fewer against a comfortable eight or more — and 15 for the combined points beating our line. Get all three in the same round and a 20-point perfect-round bonus takes it to 70.
Fixtures, scores and form come from the live ESPN rugby feed and update automatically. The Pick'em is a free game — no stake is taken and no payout is made. Sportsbook listings are advertising and we may earn a commission; it never affects the order, which is supplied by our operator team. 18+ · Please gamble responsibly · Gambling Help Online.